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Cake day: July 24th, 2023

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  • zxqwas@lemmy.worldtomemes@lemmy.worldConspiracies
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    4 days ago

    If you pick one you’re 5% likely to pick the right one and be 100% correct.

    You’re 95% likely to pick the wrong one. Then you miss the conspiracy that is true and you believe in one that is not true so 18/20 = 90% correct.

    Average out the probabilities and it should turn out to be something like 90.5%.

    Edit:I may be off on the maths now that I think about it.